Tablet shipments to overtake Notebook shipments by 2016

According to a recent survey by NPD DisplaySearch, by 2016 tablet PCs will be “the growth driver” for the mobile computer market. With an increasing number of users shifting to newer devices like the Apple iPad, the tablet PCs are expected to overtake the notebook PCs over the next few years.

The report states that the overall mobile PC shipments will grow from 347M units in 2012 to over 809M units by 2017. By 2017, tablet PC shipments growing at a CAGR of 28% are expected to grow to 416 million as against 121 million in 2012. During the same period, the shipments of Notebook PCs are expected to grow from 208 million to over 809 million.

Around 66% of this growth will be primarily driven by the mature markets like North America, Japan and Western Europe – where the tablet PC shipments are expected to grow from 80M units in 2012 to 254M units by 2017.

Richard Shim, senior analyst at NPD DisplaySearch said,“Consumer preference for mobile computing devices is shifting from notebook to tablet PCs, particularly in mature markets. While the lines between tablet and notebook PCs are blurring, we expect mature markets to be the primary regions for tablet PC adoption. New entrants are tending to launch their initial products in mature markets. Services and infrastructure needed to create compelling new usage models are often better established in mature markets.”

During this entire forecast period, the notebook PC market will remain the largest part of the mobile PC market, accounting for 60% of mobile PC shipments in 2012, declining to 49% by 2017.

Since 1996, NPD DisplaySearch has been recognized as a leading global market research and consulting firm specializing in the display supply chain, as well as the emerging photovoltaic/solar cell industries. NPD DisplaySearch provides trend information, forecasts and analyses developed by a global team of experienced analysts with extensive industry knowledge.



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